Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Rochdale |
34.34% ( 0) | 24.85% | 40.81% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 57.92% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.7% | 45.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.36% | 67.64% |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% ( 0) | 25.59% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.53% | 60.47% |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( -0) | 22.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( -0) | 55.55% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Rochdale |
2-1 @ 7.94% 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.27% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-2 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.34% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.85% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 8.55% 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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