FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK

The Hawthorns

West Brom
4 - 1
Aldershot

Chalobah (7'), Malcolm (15'), Dike (27'), Fellows (88')
Chalobah (39')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bray (90+5')
Harries (33'), Widdrington (35'), Widdrington (35')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between West Bromwich Albion and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 1-0 West Brom
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aldershot Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Woking 2-3 Aldershot
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-0 Aldershot Town

Aldershot have beaten two League Two sides in this season's competition, but the step-up in class here will be big, and we are expecting West Brom to have too much quality for their National League opponents in Sunday's third-round contest in the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Aldershot Town
70.15% ( -0.07)	17.84% ( 0.02)	12% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.87% (

0.01)

40.13% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.5% (

0.01)

62.5% (

-0.02)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.73% (

-0.02)

10.27% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.35% (

-0.03)

33.64% (

0.03)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.1% (

0.09)

43.9% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.96% (

0.07)

80.04% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

West Bromwich Albion 70.15%

Aldershot Town 12%

Draw 17.84%

West Bromwich Albion	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.29% 4-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 4.37% Total : 70.15%	1-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 17.84%	0-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 12%