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Aldershot Town
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
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Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
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Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Moss Lane
Aldershot Town

Altrincham
2 - 1
Aldershot

Conn (24'), Newby (77')
Newby (50'), Southern-Cooper (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harries (72' pen.)
Stokes (74'), Glover (90+5')
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Altrincham
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 3-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawAldershot Town
44.07% (-1.717 -1.72) 24.47% (0.198 0.2) 31.45% (1.513 1.51)
Both teams to score 58.21% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (-0.197 -0.2)44.47% (0.192 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.16% (-0.188 -0.19)66.84% (0.18299999999999 0.18)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (-0.82000000000001 -0.82)20.3% (0.815 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33% (-1.32 -1.32)52.67% (1.315 1.32)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.04% (0.89100000000001 0.89)26.96% (-0.897 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.7% (1.159 1.16)62.3% (-1.164 -1.16)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 44.07%
    Aldershot Town 31.45%
    Draw 24.47%
AltrinchamDrawAldershot Town
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.302 -0.3)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.26 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 44.07%
1-1 @ 11.43% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.045000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.5% (0.246 0.25)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.269 0.27)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.187 0.19)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.086 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.165 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 31.45%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 6.15pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Altrincham
1-0
Aldershot
Colclough (77' pen.)
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Altrincham
1-0
Aldershot
Mooney (87')
Marriott (24'), Mooney (48'), Kosylo (49'), Colclough (50'), Pringle (89')

Glover (78'), Kinsella (79'), Harris (89')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Aldershot
2-2
Altrincham
Whittingham (28'), Sylla (39')
Webbe (45'), Saunders (75')
Mullarkey (45'), Colclough (90')
Thompson (45'), Senior (45'), Whitehead (56')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Aldershot
2-1
Altrincham
Nouble (43'), Kandi (88')
Whittingham (18'), Anderson (65'), Edser (69')
Hancock (48' pen.)
Ceesay (37')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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