National League | Gameweek 14
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Moss Lane
Altrincham2 - 1Aldershot
Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Aldershot Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Altrincham
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in National League
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in National League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Aldershot 3-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
23
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
44.07% ( -1.72) | 24.47% ( 0.2) | 31.45% ( 1.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.2) | 44.47% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( -0.19) | 66.84% ( 0.18) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( -0.82) | 20.3% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.33% ( -1.32) | 52.67% ( 1.32) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.89) | 26.96% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.7% ( 1.16) | 62.3% ( -1.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Altrincham 44.07%
Aldershot Town 31.45%
Draw 24.47%
| Altrincham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.3)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 44.07% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.45% |
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 6.15pm
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Aldershot
2-2
Altrincham
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
