Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.