Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 55.56%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
55.56% ( 2.09) | 21.88% ( -0.39) | 22.56% ( -1.69) |
Both teams to score 59.3% ( -0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.52% ( -0.04) | 39.48% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.18% ( -0.04) | 61.82% ( 0.05) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.66) | 14.14% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.2% ( 1.27) | 41.8% ( -1.27) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.07% ( -1.43) | 30.93% ( 1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.78% ( -1.71) | 67.22% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.3% Total : 55.56% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.79% Total : 22.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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