Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.5%) and 3-1 (6.35%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
52.14% ( 0.02) | 21.29% ( -0) | 26.57% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 66.24% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.57% ( -0.01) | 32.43% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.94% ( -0.02) | 54.06% ( 0.02) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.2% ( 0) | 12.79% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.9% ( 0) | 39.1% ( -0.01) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.03) | 24.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0.03) | 58.31% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Wealdstone |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.96% 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.14% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.38% 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 26.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
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