Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.