Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
40.67% ( -0.06) | 23.42% ( -0.07) | 35.91% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 63.5% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.84% ( 0.37) | 38.16% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.57% ( 0.39) | 60.43% ( -0.39) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.82% ( 0.12) | 19.17% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.16% ( 0.21) | 50.84% ( -0.22) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.57% ( 0.23) | 21.43% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.56% ( 0.36) | 54.44% ( -0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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