Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
33.51% (![]() | 24.18% (![]() | 42.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.62% (![]() | 42.37% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% (![]() | 64.77% (![]() |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% (![]() | 24.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.77% (![]() | 59.22% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.78% (![]() | 20.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.47% (![]() | 52.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 7.81% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.16% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 8.92% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 2.95% Total : 42.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |