Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.