Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.