Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 67.02%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 14.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.