Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 23.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
