Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 53.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for York City had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.