Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for York City had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
41.21% ( 1.06) | 26.16% ( -0.09) | 32.62% ( -0.97) |
Both teams to score 53.01% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.56% ( 0.15) | 51.43% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.75% ( 0.13) | 73.24% ( -0.13) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0.62) | 24.65% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( 0.86) | 59.17% ( -0.86) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.36% ( -0.55) | 29.64% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.32% ( -0.67) | 65.68% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 49 |
2 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 47 |
4 | Gateshead | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 31 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 38 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 35 |
11 | Eastleigh | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 33 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Tamworth | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 30 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 28 |
17 | Woking | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 25 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 24 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 23 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 58 | -41 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |