Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Barnet win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Barnet |
43.09% ( -0.04) | 25.61% ( 0) | 31.29% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.3% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.45% ( 0.01) | 49.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.42% ( 0) | 71.57% ( -0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.11% ( -0.02) | 22.89% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.36% ( -0.03) | 56.64% ( 0.02) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( 0.03) | 29.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 0.04) | 65.61% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Barnet |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.09% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |