Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.