Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Solihull Moors had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Solihull Moors win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | York City |
34.24% ( -4.38) | 25.43% ( -0.31) | 40.33% ( 4.69) |
Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.09% ( 1.18) | 47.9% ( -1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.91% ( 1.07) | 70.08% ( -1.07) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% ( -1.94) | 26.9% ( 1.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% ( -2.62) | 62.21% ( 2.62) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.47% ( 3.09) | 23.53% ( -3.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.42% ( 4.28) | 57.58% ( -4.27) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.91) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.94) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.57) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.81) 1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0.63) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.63) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.34) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.31) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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