Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Braintree Town |
52.83% ( 0) | 24.11% ( -0) | 23.06% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.19% ( 0.03) | 48.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.09% ( 0.03) | 70.9% ( -0.03) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( 0.01) | 18.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( 0.02) | 49.59% ( -0.02) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% ( 0.02) | 35.65% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% ( 0.02) | 72.42% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Braintree Town |
1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 9.69% 2-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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