Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.