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Aldershot Town
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AFC Fylde
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National League | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Gateshead

Tamworth
2 - 1
Gateshead

Tshikuna (24'), Creaney (73')
Creaney (48'), Morrison (63'), Cullinane-Liburd (79'), Acquaye (81'), Fairlamb (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whelan (90+5')
Radcliffe (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Tamworth and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 3-2 Tamworth
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

We said: Tamworth 0-1 Gateshead

Despite the loss of their first-team manager to League One Crawley, Gateshead still have enough leadership and knowhow in their ranks to collect points whilst the search for a permanent coach rumbles on. Tamworth are sliding down the table once again after a promising period in September, and we expect the Lambs to suffer a third consecutive defeat on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawGateshead
29.01% (0.76 0.76) 24.39% (-0.245 -0.25) 46.6% (-0.512 -0.51)
Both teams to score 57.1% (1.359 1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (1.544 1.54)45.31% (-1.542 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (1.46 1.46)67.65% (-1.458 -1.46)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (1.337 1.34)29.01% (-1.334 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (1.622 1.62)64.92% (-1.619 -1.62)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.408 0.41)19.56% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.657 0.66)51.47% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 29.01%
    Gateshead 46.6%
    Draw 24.39%
TamworthDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.149 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.02% (-0.202 -0.2)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.164 0.16)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.083 0.08)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 29.01%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.193 0.19)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.383 -0.38)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.39%
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.502 -0.5)
0-2 @ 7.56% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-3 @ 5.09% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 2.07% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.68% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 46.6%

How you voted: Tamworth vs Gateshead

Tamworth
11.3%
Draw
17.7%
Gateshead
71.0%
62
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City1610512891935
2Forest Green RoversForest Green16104229131634
3Barnet16110534201433
4Gateshead1610332819933
5Oldham AthleticOldham168622517830
6Rochdale1683525151027
7Yeovil TownYeovil167452015525
8Solihull MoorsSolihull167362325-224
9AltrinchamAltrincham166552320323
10Halifax TownHalifax166551816223
11Eastleigh166552423123
12Sutton UnitedSutton166462424022
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red165652617921
14Southend UnitedSouthend165652019121
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool165651516-121
16Tamworth166371927-821
17Aldershot TownAldershot164662125-418
18Woking164571823-517
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead164482026-616
20Fylde164392036-1615
21Braintree TownBraintree163491119-813
22WealdstoneWealdstone162681425-1112
23Boston UnitedBoston1624101529-1410
24Ebbsfleet1614111436-227


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