Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 1-0 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.