Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for York City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
York City | Draw | Rochdale |
36.17% ( 0.01) | 26.47% ( -0) | 37.35% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.8% ( 0.01) | 52.19% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.09% ( 0.01) | 73.9% ( -0.01) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.21% ( 0.01) | 27.79% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.62% ( 0.02) | 63.37% ( -0.02) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( 0) | 27.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.51% ( 0) | 62.49% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
York City | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.17% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.14% Total : 37.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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