Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.