Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for York City had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | York City |
44.55% ( -0.1) | 25.21% ( 0) | 30.24% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.74% ( 0.04) | 48.26% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% ( 0.03) | 70.41% ( -0.04) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.34% ( -0.03) | 21.66% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.2% ( -0.05) | 54.8% ( 0.05) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.35% ( 0.09) | 29.65% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.3% ( 0.11) | 65.7% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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