MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 03:20:50| >> :600:418892:418892:
Azerbaijan national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 25, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
Kazakhstan national football team

Azerbaijan
3 - 0
Kazakhstan

Marochkin (67' og.), Ozobic (74'), Nuriev (90+1')
Dadasov (27'), Mahammadaliyev (35'), Madatov (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Orazov (29'), Alip (35'), Sadybekov (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 1-2 Azerbaijan
Thursday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-1 Belarus
Thursday, September 22 at 3pm in Nations League

We said: Azerbaijan 1-1 Kazakhstan

With the stakes having lowered for Kazakhstan, they may not perform with the same kind of intensity. With that in mind, we can only predict a low-scoring draw between two teams who have secured results above their expectations during this campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
AzerbaijanDrawKazakhstan
35.15% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 26.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 38.75% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.8% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (0.081000000000003 0.08)50.67% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42% (0.071999999999999 0.07)72.57% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.32% (0.045999999999992 0.05)27.67% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.77% (0.058 0.06)63.22% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)25.61% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.055999999999997 0.06)60.49% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Azerbaijan 35.15%
    Kazakhstan 38.75%
    Draw 26.09%
AzerbaijanDrawKazakhstan
1-0 @ 9.1% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.15%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 9.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 38.75%

How you voted: Azerbaijan vs Kazakhstan

Azerbaijan
37.6%
Draw
29.4%
Kazakhstan
32.9%
85
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2022 3pm
League C3
Kazakhstan
2-0
Azerbaijan
Aymbetov (50', 60')
Marochkin (36'), Akhmetov (38'), Kuat (90+4')

Silvestre (90+2')
Jun 5, 2018 3pm
Kazakhstan
3-0
Azerbaijan
Murtazayev (13'), Muzhikov (14'), Zainutdinov (90')
Tunggyshbayev (48'), Zhukov (90')

Khalilzade (35')
rhs 2.0
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