UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League C

Jun 13, 2022 at 3pm UK

Kazakhstan
2 - 1
Slovakia

Vorogovskiy (18'), Astanov (39')
Orazov (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Bero (51')
Gyomber (23'), Duda (86'), Almasi (90+4'), Kucka (90+5')
Duda (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Kazakhstan and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kazakhstan

Last Six:

Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Kazakhstan
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Slovakia

Last Six:

Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Slovakia
Friday, June 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

We said: Kazakhstan 1-1 Slovakia

Given Kazakhstan's remaining fixtures, the onus is on Slovakia to record all three points. However, we cannot ignore the form of the home side, and a surprise draw last time out will only motivate them to hold their own on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kazakhstan	Draw	Slovakia
23.86% ( -0.02)	24.5% ( -0.02)	51.63% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 52.19% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34% (

0.08)

49.66% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.32% (

0.07)

71.68% (

-0.07)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.6% (

0.03)

35.4% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84% (

0.03)

72.16% (

-0.03)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.78% (

0.05)

19.22% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.08% (

0.08)

50.92% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Kazakhstan 23.86%

Slovakia 51.63%

Draw 24.5%

Kazakhstan	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 23.86%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 51.63%