![Bulgaria national football team Bulgaria national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/bullog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Nations League | League B
Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slavija
![Republic of Ireland national football team Republic of Ireland national football team](https://sm.imgix.net/21/12/roilog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Bulgaria1 - 1Rep. Ireland
Reaction
![Republic of Ireland's Shane Duffy scores against Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League on September 3, 2020 Republic of Ireland's Shane Duffy scores against Bulgaria in the UEFA Nations League on September 3, 2020](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Shane Duffy thanks Robbie Brady for handing him chance to redeem himself
The defender levelled from Robbie Brady's late corner in Sofia.
Sep 4, 09:10
![Stephen Kenny pictured in charge of Republic of Ireland for the first time on September 3, 2020 Stephen Kenny pictured in charge of Republic of Ireland for the first time on September 3, 2020](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Republic of Ireland boss Stephen Kenny: Bulgaria draw "was quite surreal"
Skipper Shane Duffy levelled in stoppage time in Sofia.
Sep 4, 08:48
The Match
Match Report
The Celtic defender struck in stoppage time in Sofia.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's UEFA Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bulgaria | Draw | Republic of Ireland |
30.13% | 28.13% | 41.74% |
Both teams to score 46.22% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.35% | 59.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.03% | 79.97% |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% | 35.65% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% | 72.42% |
Republic of Ireland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.83% | 28.17% |