The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between England and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Germany 1-1 England
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
We said: England 1-0 Italy
Southgate is facing ever-increasing scrutiny after a pair of dissatisfactory showings in the Nations League, with England's attacking stars simply not clicking into gear, but the Azzurri are not the force they once were either. The young and inexperienced forward line at Mancini's disposal could struggle to break down the Three Lions' stingy defence, and we can envisage the Three Lions finally posting a first win on the board in what may not be the most entertaining affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Italy had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| England | Draw | Italy |
47.38% ( 0.02) | 23.37% ( -0.01) | 29.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.52% ( 0.02) | 40.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.02) |
| England Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.01) | 17.35% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.27% ( 0.02) | 47.73% ( -0.02) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% ( 0) | 26.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.43% | 61.57% |
| Score Analysis |
England 47.38%
Italy 29.25%
Draw 23.36%
| England | Draw | Italy |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.25% |
How you voted: England vs Italy
England
57.6%Draw
20.3%Italy
22.1%443
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2020 8pm
Mar 27, 2018 8pm
Mar 31, 2015 7.45pm
Jun 14, 2014 11pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Gareth Southgate provides Phil Foden, Kalvin Phillips update ahead of Italy game
England manager Gareth Southgate admits that Phil Foden and Kalvin Phillips are both doubts for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
3 years ago
How Italy could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with England.
3 years ago
How England could line up against Italy
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Saturday's UEFA Nations League clash with Italy.
3 years ago
