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Northern Ireland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Italy national football team

N. Ireland
0 - 0
Italy

FT

Tonali (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Northern Ireland and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash with Northern Ireland.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (15.52%) and 0-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.33%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawItaly
11.52%24.42%64.05%
Both teams to score 31.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.84%65.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16%83.99%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.72%60.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.21%90.79%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.53%20.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07%52.92%
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 11.52%
    Italy 64.04%
    Draw 24.41%
Northern IrelandDrawItaly
1-0 @ 6.24%
2-1 @ 2.51%
2-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 11.52%
0-0 @ 12.33%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 19.56%
0-2 @ 15.52%
0-3 @ 8.21%
1-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 4.16%
0-4 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.05%
0-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 64.04%

How you voted: N. Ireland vs Italy

Northern Ireland
11.4%
Draw
12.2%
Italy
76.4%
237
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
2-0
N. Ireland
Berardi (14'), Immobile (39')

Saville (48'), Thompson (90+4')
rhs 2.0
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