International Friendly
Mar 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Turkey2 - 3Italy
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between Turkey and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Italy could line up in Tuesday's international friendly with Turkey.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lithuania 0-6 Turkey
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Luxembourg vs. Turkey
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Germany | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | England | 2 | -1 | 1 |
We said: Turkey 1-1 Italy
Both teams will be wounded due to what happened last week, and it is difficult to predict exactly what will occur in this match. Italy have released six players from their camp, but the Blues still have plenty of quality in their squad, and we are expecting the two sides to play out a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Italy |
| 19.98% | 26.75% | 53.27% |
| Both teams to score 41.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
