World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Play-offs - Semi-finals

Mar 24, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Italy
0 - 1
N. Macedonia

FT(HT: 0-0)

Trajkovski (90+2')
Spirovski (80')

Italy boss Roberto Mancini: 'There's too much disappointment to talk about my future'

Roberto Mancini refuses to talk about his future, following Italy's shock 1-0 defeat to North Macedonia in their 2022 World Cup playoff semi-final on Thursday.

Mar 24, 22:56

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

Last Six:

Last Game: Italy 2-1 Hungary
Tuesday, June 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Next Game: England vs. Italy
Saturday, June 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy	2	1	4
2	Hungary	2	0	3
3	Germany	2	0	2
4	England	2	-1	1

North Macedonia

Last Six:

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 N. Macedonia
Sunday, June 5 at 5pm in Nations League

Next Game: N. Macedonia vs. Georgia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bulgaria	0	0	0
2	Georgia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Gibraltar	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 55.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Italy	Draw	North Macedonia
55.68%	26.61%	17.71%

Both teams to score 38.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.72%

63.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.33%

82.67%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92%

23.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08%

56.92%

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.15%

49.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.45%

84.55%

Score Analysis

Italy 55.67%

North Macedonia 17.71%

Draw 26.6%

Italy	Draw	North Macedonia
1-0 @ 16.86% 2-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 8.61% 3-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 4.21% 4-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.36% Total : 55.67%	1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 3% Other @ 0.36% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.79% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.71%