Nations League | League B
Sep 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Laugardalsvollur
Iceland2 - 0Montenegro
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Iceland
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 10 | 34 | 30 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 10 | -6 | 17 |
| 4 | Iceland | 10 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 10 | -11 | 9 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 10 | -27 | 0 |
Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
We said: Iceland 1-0 Montenegro
We are not expecting a goal fest on Friday evening, and it would not be a shock to see the points shared in this contest. Iceland will have home advantage, though, and we are backing Hareide's side to navigate their way to a narrow success here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Montenegro |
46.61% ( 0.05) | 26.51% ( 0) | 26.87% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.92% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
