Georgia have scored 14 times in their last two friendlies against Mongolia and Thailand, but this will be a tougher examination. We are expecting a tight match on Sunday but believe that Georgia will be able to navigate their way to a win in their final fixture before their Euro 2024 campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Georgia had a probability of 14.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Georgia win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.

Result
Montenegro	Draw	Georgia
64.1% ( -0)	21.16% ( 0.03)	14.73% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.07% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.45% (

-0.16)

48.55% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.32% (

-0.15)

70.67% (

0.14)

Montenegro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

-0.05)

14.45% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.59% (

-0.1)

42.4% (

0.09)

Georgia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.01% (

-0.14)

44.98% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08% (

-0.11)

80.91% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Montenegro 64.1%

Georgia 14.73%

Draw 21.16%

Montenegro	Draw	Georgia
1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 64.1%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.16%	0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.35% Total : 14.73%