UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League B

Jun 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Iceland
2 - 2
Israel

Dagur Thorsteinsson (9'), Johann Helgason (60')
Arnar Haraldsson (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Leo Gretarsson (35' og.), Peretz (67')
Peretz (45+2'), Menachem (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Iceland and Israel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

Last Six:

Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

Israel

Last Six:

Last Game: Albania 1-2 Israel
Friday, June 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League B2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Russia	0	0	0
2	Israel	0	0	0
3	Iceland	0	0	0
4	Albania	0	0	0

With both teams heading into this fixture unbeaten, there will be a certain level of respect during the early stages. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors possess the better quality in all areas, leading us to predict a hard-fought win by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Israel
37.79% ( -0.02)	23.85% ( -0)	38.36% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 62.06% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.89% (

0.03)

40.11% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.52% (

0.04)

62.48% (

-0.03)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

0.01)

21.36% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.67% (

0.01)

54.34% (

-0.01)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

0.03)

21.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

0.04)

53.91% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Iceland 37.79%

Israel 38.36%

Draw 23.85%

Iceland	Draw	Israel
2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 37.79%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85%	1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 38.36%