We said: Iceland 1-2 Israel
With both teams heading into this fixture unbeaten, there will be a certain level of respect during the early stages. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors possess the better quality in all areas, leading us to predict a hard-fought win by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Iceland win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
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