Although Iceland have struggled in recent times, we think that they will prove too strong for San Marino, and we expect the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
San Marino	Draw	Iceland
23.97% ( 0)	21.67% ( -0)	54.37% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.91% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.14% (

0.02)

36.87% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.96% (

0.02)

59.04% (

-0.02)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

0.02)

28.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

0.02)

64.05% (

-0.01)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

0.01)

13.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

0.02)

40.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

San Marino 23.97%

Iceland 54.37%

Draw 21.67%

San Marino	Draw	Iceland
2-1 @ 6.12% 1-0 @ 4.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.47% Total : 23.97%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 9.67% 0-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.42% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.2% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.54% 2-4 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.37%