UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Malta
1 - 0
San Marino

Muscat (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lunadei (67'), Battistini (86'), Rossi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Malta and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

San Marino

Last Six:

Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Estonia	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	San Marino	0	0	0

Although Malta are not the most formidable side to face the minnows of San Marino, they remain huge favourites to come out with a comfortable victory on Sunday. There are no signs to suggest that the hosts will struggle in their task, and we are going for a repeat of the 2-0 scoreline earned away from home against their opponents on June 5. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
Malta	Draw	San Marino
50.8% ( -0.01)	22.09% ( -0)	27.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.74% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.1% (

0.03)

35.9% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.01% (

0.03)

57.99% (

-0.04)

Malta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.57% (

14.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.63% (

0.01)

42.37% (

-0.02)

San Marino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

0.02)

25.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

0.03)

60.35% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Malta 50.8%

San Marino 27.1%

Draw 22.09%

Malta	Draw	San Marino
2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.8%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.1%