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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
San Marino national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 5, 2022 at 2pm UK
 
Malta national football team

San Marino
0 - 2
Malta


Rossi (62'), Golinucci (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Busuttil (59'), Guillaumier (75')
Mbong (15'), Satariano (45+3'), Paiber (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between San Marino and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Marino

Last Six:
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Malta

Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: San Marino 0-2 Malta

 Malta may not be the most impressive of opponents to visit San Marino, and they may struggle on their travels, but it is unlikely that they will slip up here. The odds are always heavily stacked against the hosts in any occasion, and Sunday's Nations League clash looks unlikely to spring too many surprises here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Malta in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Malta.

Result
San MarinoDrawMalta
26.9% (-0.02 -0.02) 23.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 49.55% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.33% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)42.96% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.64% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)65.36% (0.040000000000006 0.04)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.67% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)29.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)65.3% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)17.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 26.9%
    Malta 49.55%
    Draw 23.55%
San MarinoDrawMalta
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 26.9%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.55%

How you voted: San Marino vs Malta

San Marino
27.6%
Draw
10.3%
Malta
62.1%
87
rhs 2.0
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