MX23RW : Monday, December 23 07:43:50| >> :600:924321:924321:
Malta national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
Estonia national football team

Malta
1 - 2
Estonia

Hein (56' og.)
Guillaumier (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vassiljev (21'), Anier (90+4')
Kait (48'), Zenjov (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Malta and Estonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Albania vs. Estonia
Monday, June 13 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Malta 1-1 Estonia

We put these two sides on a relatively level playing field and struggle to pick a winner in what should be a tight encounter, instead predicting them to cancel one another out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
MaltaDrawEstonia
43.5% (0.154 0.15) 23.45% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 33.05% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 62.61% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (-0.238 -0.24)39% (0.238 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (-0.249 -0.25)61.32% (0.25 0.25)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)18.31% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.61% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)49.39% (0.055 0.05)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)23.36% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.318 -0.32)57.33% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malta 43.5%
    Estonia 33.05%
    Draw 23.44%
MaltaDrawEstonia
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.44%
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.05%

How you voted: Malta vs Estonia

Malta
56.5%
Draw
22.9%
Estonia
20.6%
131
rhs 2.0
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