MX23RW : Monday, November 4 19:01:58| >> :600:388960:388960:
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Italy national football team

Netherlands
0 - 1
Italy


Veltman (69'), Wijnaldum (84'), Depay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barella (45+1')
D'Ambrosio (23'), Cristante (84'), Chiellini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Italy, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawItaly
36.81%24.16%39.03%
Both teams to score 60.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31%41.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91%64.09%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.16%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53%54.47%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 36.81%
    Italy 39.03%
    Draw 24.16%
NetherlandsDrawItaly
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.03%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-1
Netherlands
Zaza (67')
Chiesa (75'), Zaza (89')
Criscito (69')
Ake (88')
de Roon (28'), Vormer (43'), Janmaat (90')
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
1-2
Italy
Romagnoli (10' og.)
Eder (11'), Bonucci (32')
Rugani (48')
Sep 4, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
2-0
Netherlands
Immobile (3'), De Rossi (10' pen.)
Verratti (74')
Jun 15, 2013 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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