Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Braga had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union SG in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Union SG.
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