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Europa League
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 23, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Lyon

Fenerbahce
vs.
Lyon

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 0-4 Fenerbahce
Sunday, January 19 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Lyon

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Toulouse
Saturday, January 18 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

We say: Fenerbahce 2-2 Lyon

 Fenerbahce, and Mourinho in particular, are often strong at home in Europe, but this will be a tough challenge against a Lyon side who are unbeaten away from the Groupama Stadium in Europe so far this season. It has been a challenging week for the visitors with some very poor results and upheaval continuing off the field, but they still have the quality to compete here in the fight for a top-eight spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 49.37%. A win for Lyon has a probability of 27.71% and a draw has a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lyon win is 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.41%).

Result
FenerbahceDrawLyon
49.37% (0.16099999999999 0.16) 22.92% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 27.71% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 61.27% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.62% (0.299 0.3)39.38% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.28% (0.313 0.31)61.72% (-0.316 -0.32)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.16900000000001 0.17)16.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (0.308 0.31)45.67% (-0.312 -0.31)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (0.091999999999999 0.09)26.89% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79% (0.123 0.12)62.21% (-0.126 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 49.37%
    Lyon 27.71%
    Draw 22.92%
FenerbahceDrawLyon
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.93% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 49.37%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.71%

Who will win Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Lyon?

Fenerbahce
Draw
Lyon
Fenerbahce
62.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lyon
25.0%
8
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