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Portugal national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Sweden national football team

Portugal
3 - 0
Sweden

Silva (21'), Jota (44', 72')
Jota (52'), Fernandes (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ekdal (36'), Olsson (57'), Jansson (62'), Andersson (72'), Berg (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Portugal and Sweden, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up for their UEFA Nations League showdown with Sweden on Wednesday evening.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawSweden
55.94%23.68%20.39%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%50%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.98%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.37%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.05%38.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32%75.68%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 55.93%
    Sweden 20.39%
    Draw 23.67%
PortugalDrawSweden
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.5%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.39%

Head to Head
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Sweden
0-2
Portugal

Svensson (14'), Andersson (90')
Svensson (44')
Ronaldo (45+1', 72')
Guerreiro (57'), Felix (86')
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Portugal
2-3
Sweden
Ronaldo (18'), Granqvist (34' og.)
Claesson (57', 76'), Cancelo (93' og.)
Nov 19, 2013 7.45pm
Nov 15, 2013 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Portugal
1-0
Sweden
Ronaldo (82')
Pereira (42'), Ronaldo (77')

Larsson (71'), Elmander (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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