Sweden

0 - 2

Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.