Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
New Zealand W1 - 2France Women
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between New Zealand Women and France Women.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: New Zealand W 0-2 Colombia Women
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: France Women 1-2 Canada Women
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.
Result | ||
New Zealand Women | Draw | France Women |
26.04% ( -3.62) | 25.12% ( -0.39) | 48.83% ( 4.02) |
Both teams to score 52.43% ( -1.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.61% ( -0.58) | 50.39% ( 0.59) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.67% ( -0.52) | 72.32% ( 0.52) |
New Zealand Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.08% ( -3.08) | 33.92% ( 3.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.4% ( -3.48) | 70.6% ( 3.48) |
France Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.35% ( 1.54) | 20.65% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.77% ( 2.37) | 53.23% ( -2.36) |
Score Analysis |
New Zealand Women 26.04%
France Women 48.83%
Draw 25.11%
New Zealand Women | Draw | France Women |
1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.67) 2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.64) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.47) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.38) Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.04% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.75) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.96) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.38) 0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.34) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 48.83% |
How you voted: New Zealand W vs France Women
New Zealand Women
33.3%Draw
33.3%France Women
33.3%6
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