MX23RW : Friday, November 8 21:45:51| >> :600:2255100:2255100:
New Zealand national football team
Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
France national football team

New Zealand W
1 - 2
France Women

Taylor (42')
Green (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Katoto (22', 49')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between New Zealand Women and France Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: New Zealand W 0-2 Colombia Women
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: France Women 1-2 Canada Women
Sunday, July 28 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for New Zealand Women had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest New Zealand Women win was 1-0 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.

Result
New Zealand WomenDrawFrance Women
26.04% (-3.622 -3.62) 25.12% (-0.387 -0.39) 48.83% (4.015 4.02)
Both teams to score 52.43% (-1.383 -1.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)50.39% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (-0.516 -0.52)72.32% (0.521 0.52)
New Zealand Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (-3.079 -3.08)33.92% (3.084 3.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (-3.475 -3.48)70.6% (3.48 3.48)
France Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35% (1.539 1.54)20.65% (-1.533 -1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (2.365 2.37)53.23% (-2.36 -2.36)
Score Analysis
    New Zealand Women 26.04%
    France Women 48.83%
    Draw 25.11%
New Zealand WomenDrawFrance Women
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.475 -0.48)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-0 @ 4.09% (-0.64 -0.64)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.468 -0.47)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.381 -0.38)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.04%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 11.05% (0.75 0.75)
1-2 @ 9.42% (0.298 0.3)
0-2 @ 8.72% (0.959 0.96)
1-3 @ 4.95% (0.375 0.38)
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.689 0.69)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.229 0.23)
0-4 @ 1.81% (0.342 0.34)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 48.83%

How you voted: New Zealand W vs France Women

New Zealand Women
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
France Women
33.3%
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