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Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Aug 29, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
Athletico Paranaense

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Garcia (22'), Rony (71')
Rafael (69'), Deyverson (82'), Melo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bissoli (66')

Preview: Palmeiras vs. Athletico Paranaense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Currently on a three-game winless run, Palmeiras will be keen to arrest their recent slump when they take on Athletico Paranaense at Allianz Parque on Sunday.

While Palmeiras fell to an underwhelming 2-0 defeat to newly-promoted Cuiaba on the last matchday, Athletico Paranaense booked a spot in the Copa do Brasil semi-finals after a slender 1-0 win over Santos.


Match preview

Palmeiras' Rony celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on May 4, 2021© Reuters

Palmeiras, who sit in second place in the Brasileiro standings, are enduring a difficult month where they have lost all their three matches, consequently relinquishing their spot at the league summit to Atletico Mineiro.

Last time out, they were in action against Serie A newcomers Cuiaba and were handed a shock 2-0 defeat, with goals from Clayson and Uillian Correia putting them to the sword, as they slipped six points behind the top spot.

Despite being the more dominant side, registering 31 shots on goal and seven on target, Abel Ferreira's men could not find the back of the net as the likes of Raphael Veiga and Rony failed to make any major impact.

For all their struggles in the league, Palmeiras are making waves in the Copa Libertadores, where they are on course to secure the prestigious title for the third time in their history, after defeating Sao Paulo to book a place in the competition's semi-final.

The White-Green are formidable on home turf, having won six out of their nine matches at Allianz Parque, and notching up 17 goals in that time to seal their place as the third-best home side in the league.

Athletico Paranaense's Richard celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on June 30, 2021© Reuters

Also faring really well on the continental stage, Athletico Paranaense are in the last four of the Copa Sudamericana, following a hard-fought 4-3 aggregate quarter-final win over Ecuadorian Serie A outfit LDU Quito.

Having recently booked a place in the semi-final of the Copa do Brasil as well, El Paranaense can now switch focus to the Brasileiro for the time being where they occupy ninth place in the table, with 22 points in 17 matches.

They enjoyed a solid start to the league campaign, notching up 19 points from their opening nine games before suffering a dip in form that saw them lose five of their subsequent seven fixtures.

On the road, Antonio Oliveira's men have been underwhelming, as they remain without a win in each of their preceding four away games.

When it comes to recent head-to-head record between these two sides, Palmeiras have the edge, with four wins from their last five meetings, including a comfortable 3-0 triumph last time around.

Palmeiras Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Palmeiras form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Athletico Paranaense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Athletico Paranaense form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W



Team News

Palmeiras' Danilo celebrates scoring their second goal on June 30, 2021© Reuters

Having missed out on the previous game against Cuiaba through suspension, Patrick is set to make a return to the starting lineup, with Ze Rafael likely to make way for the 21-year-old midfielder.

Abel Ferreira may ditch his favoured 4-2-3-1 for the 3-4-3 formation that helped his side comfortably see off Sao Paulo in the quarter-final of the Copa Libertadores.

With Vinicius Silvestre still out on the sidelines, Weverton, who has kept three clean sheets in four appearances, should continue in goal. Jorge is injured and unavailable for selection.

Athletico Paranaense's Matheus Babi and Lucas Halter are unlikely to be fit for this fixture, as they continue their recuperation from respective knee and foot injuries.

Renato Kayser registered a goal last time out, and is expected to lead the line again, with the likes of Nikao, David Terans and Vitinho providing support from midfield.

Thiago Heleno picked up a red card against Corinthians and is suspended for this fixture, opening up a slot for Ze Ivaldo in central defence.

Palmeiras possible starting lineup:
Weverton; Luan, Gomez, Renan; Rocha, Danilo, Patrick, Wesley; Veiga, Rony, Dudu

Athletico Paranaense possible starting lineup:
Santos; Khellven, Henrique, Ivaldo, Abner; Christian, Erick; Nikao, Terans, Vitinho; Kayser


SM words green background

We say: Palmeiras 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

Though these two teams are in poor form at the moment, Palmeiras are faring slightly better than Athletico Paranaense, and are favorites to come away with all three points.

Given that these sides are desperate for a win, we are in for an attacking treat here, and Palestra's rampant frontline should help them to victory to close in on league leaders Atletico Mineiro.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 56.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Palmeiras vs Athletico PR

Palmeiras
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Athletico Paranaense
0.0%
8
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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