Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 21
Feb 16, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski
Jagiellonia3 - 0Motor Lublin
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Motor Lublin.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Jagiellonia
Thursday, February 13 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Thursday, February 13 at 5.45pm in Conference League
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Korona Kielce 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, February 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, February 9 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jagiellonia Bialystok | Draw | Motor Lublin |
58.05% ( -0.04) | 22.88% ( 0.06) | 19.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
