MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 16:19:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Sep 25, 2024 at 6pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
0 - 2
Jagiellonia


Caliskaner (20')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romanczuk (4'), Normann Hansen (50')
Romanczuk (45+1'), Sacek (66'), Dieguez (86')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 1-0 Motor Lublin
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Gdansk
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
49.1% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.88% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.46% (0.050999999999995 0.05)48.54% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.33% (0.044999999999998 0.04)70.67% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.016000000000005 0.02)19.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13% (0.024999999999999 0.02)51.87% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.042000000000002 0.04)32.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.048000000000002 0.05)69.38% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 49.1%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 26.19%
    Draw 24.7%
Motor LublinDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.7%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.19%

How you voted: Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia

Motor Lublin
40.0%
Draw
20.0%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
40.0%
5
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan15111330121834
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1510232821732
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow159421961331
4KS CracoviaCracovia159243324929
5Legia WarsawLegia157442819925
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin157172120122
7Widzew Lodz156452019122
8Gornik ZabrzeGornik156361917221
9Motor Lublin156362227-521
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice155551817120
11Katowice155462422219
12Zaglebie Lubin155371421-718
13Radomiak Radom145181921-216
14Korona Kielce154471222-1016
15Stal Mielec154381419-515
16Lechia GdanskGdansk152581728-1111
17Puszcza Niepolomice152581325-1211
18Slask Wroclaw141671122-119


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