MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 10:33:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
3 - 1
Gdansk

Ishak (3', 40'), Hotic (35')
Hakans (64')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Wendt (90+3')
Chindris (53'), Zhelizko (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, July 27 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawLechia Gdansk
47.84% (-0.073 -0.07) 25.49% (-0.174 -0.17) 26.68% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.84% (0.74 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.871 0.87)51.42% (-0.867 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.757 0.76)73.24% (-0.751 -0.75)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.5% (0.33 0.33)21.51% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.44% (0.501 0.5)54.56% (-0.497 -0.5)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (0.672 0.67)33.96% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.36% (0.719 0.72)70.64% (-0.714 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 47.83%
    Lechia Gdansk 26.68%
    Draw 25.48%
Lech PoznanDrawLechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.041 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 47.83%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.256 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.108 0.11)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.129 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.68%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan16121332122037
2Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia1610333023733
3Rakow CzestochowaRakow169522071332
4KS CracoviaCracovia169253527829
5Legia WarsawLegia1684431211028
6Pogon SzczecinSzczecin168172420425
7Gornik ZabrzeGornik167362017324
8Motor Lublin167362428-424
9Widzew Lodz166462021-122
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice165561818020
11Katowice165472424019
12Stal Mielec165381620-418
13Zaglebie Lubin165381523-818
14Korona Kielce164571323-1017
15Radomiak Radom155192023-316
16Puszcza Niepolomice163581525-1014
17Lechia GdanskGdansk162591731-1411
18Slask Wroclaw151771324-1110


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