Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan
Lech Poznan3 - 1Gdansk
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Lechia Gdansk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 2-1 Lech Poznan
Saturday, July 27 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, July 27 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Gdansk 0-2 Motor Lublin
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
47.84% ( -0.07) | 25.49% ( -0.17) | 26.68% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( 0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.58% ( 0.87) | 51.42% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( 0.76) | 73.24% ( -0.75) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( 0.33) | 21.51% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.44% ( 0.5) | 54.56% ( -0.5) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.04% ( 0.67) | 33.96% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.36% ( 0.72) | 70.64% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
Lech Poznan 47.83%
Lechia Gdansk 26.68%
Draw 25.48%
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.39% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.28% Total : 26.68% |
Form Guide
