Lech Poznan

2 - 0

Gornik

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.